Finding Senate · Texas Democrat
Crockett, Jasmine FINDING
Posted public messaging guidance consistent with red-boxing
Detected on https://jasmineforus.com/260121.pdf · classifier confidence 0.95 · model fireworks/deepseek-v4-flash
The page is explicitly titled 'Red Box Backup' and contains a pre-written attack statement followed by curated news excerpts as evidence. This structure is characteristic of guidance for an outside group (e.g., super PAC) to produce advertising, not a press kit or voter-facing content. The content is directive and opposition-focused, with no elements of standard campaign communication.
Quoted evidence — verbatim spans from the page
TX-Sen Red Box Backup (1/21/26)
Title explicitly labels the page as a 'Red Box Backup', indicating it is guidance for outside groups to run ads.When MAGA Republican’s needed to pass voter suppression laws, they cut a deal with James Talarico to get them passed.
This is a prescribed attack line written as a directive for an ad, not voter persuasion.BACKUP
The page is structured as a 'STATEMENT' followed by 'BACKUP' with curated news excerpts, typical of red-boxing material providing evidence for ad claims.
Independent-expenditure corroboration
FEC Schedule E · 99 filings
Sequence. Messaging guidance was present on the candidate's site when detected (by us) on 2026-07-09; $1,502,262 in supporting independent expenditures is on file for this candidate, and $8,953,923 opposing.
| Committee | Amount | Filings | Date range | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| O | LONE STAR RISING PAC | $8,951,988 | 16 | 2026-02-03 – 2026-02-24 |
| S | FORWARD TEXAS | $1,005,048 | 9 | 2026-02-12 – 2026-03-02 |
| S | TEXAS ORGANIZING PROJECT POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE | $397,214 | 62 | 2026-02-03 – 2026-02-27 |
| S | ROLLING SEA ACTION FUND | $100,000 | 2 | 2026-02-19 – 2026-02-19 |
| O | GOA VICTORY FUND | $1,935 | 10 | 2025-12-02 – 2026-01-29 |
S Supporting O Opposing
Schedule E is corroboration, not the trigger — a filed expenditure is late evidence, and our detection timestamp reflects when we crawled, which can lag the actual posting. Supporting IE dated on or after our detection day: $0. Dates are FEC expenditure dates.