Published July 13, 2026 · Updated with each build
Red Box Watch

A public ledger of red‑boxing — campaign‑site signals to super PACs

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Finding Senate · Texas Democrat

Talarico, James FINDING

Seat
S-TX-00
Party
DEM
Universe reason
contested_primary
FEC receipts
$40,284,109 FEC
Campaign site
https://jamestalarico.com (unverified)
Pages scanned
28 · last 2026-07-09

Posted public messaging guidance consistent with red-boxing

Detected on https://jamestalarico.com/what-voters-need-to-know-about-james  · classifier confidence 0.95 · model fireworks/deepseek-v4-flash

The page is explicitly structured as media-buy guidance for an outside group: it identifies a target audience (likely Democratic primary voters), prescribes specific message themes (Talarico's record), and provides detailed channel and geography instructions (broadcast TV markets, streaming services, mail markets, zip codes). This goes well beyond a standard voter persuasion page or press kit, and the directive language ('need to see these messages') indicates it is intended for whoever will run the ads.

Quoted evidence — verbatim spans from the page

  • It is most important that voters in the following media markets see these messages on broadcast television: San Antonio, Harlingen – McAllen, Austin
    Directive specifying media markets and channel (broadcast TV) for ad placement.
  • likely Democratic primary voters statewide who can be reached 1-1 directly see these messages on premium subscription streaming services and then on FAST channels. Likely Democratic primary voters in the 100 zip codes with the highest concentration of likely Democratic primary voters also need to see these messages on YouTube and other zip-code based, premium streaming platforms.
    Segmented audience (likely Democratic primary voters) with channel and geographic targeting instructions.
  • These voters need to learn about Talarico’s record of taking on special interests and passing major legislation to: Increase funding for public schools and raise teacher pay...
    Prescribed message themes written as instructions for what voters should learn, typical of ad guidance.
Archived screenshot of https://jamestalarico.com/what-voters-need-to-know-about-james
Archived at detectionFull-page screenshot of https://jamestalarico.com/what-voters-need-to-know-about-james · Raw HTML preserved

Independent-expenditure corroboration

FEC Schedule E · 89 filings

Sequence. Messaging guidance was present on the candidate's site when detected (by us) on 2026-07-09; $8,241,141 in supporting independent expenditures is on file for this candidate, and $1,291,021 opposing.

Committee AmountFilingsDate range
S LONE STAR RISING PAC $7,960,524 32 2026-01-13 – 2026-02-25
O FORWARD TEXAS $1,005,048 9 2026-02-12 – 2026-03-02
O LONE STAR LIBERTY PAC $200,000 1 2026-05-21 – 2026-05-21
S LATINO VICTORY FUND $165,000 10 2026-02-20 – 2026-02-25
O WIN IT BACK PAC $85,973 6 2026-05-27 – 2026-05-27
S FORWARD BLUE $35,000 1 2026-05-31 – 2026-05-31
S FIELD TEAM 6, INC. $26,501 4 2026-06-24 – 2026-06-29
S EVERY STATE $20,000 8 2026-02-24 – 2026-02-24
S DISRUPT $18,750 2 2026-03-02 – 2026-03-02
S ACTIVATE AMERICA $10,750 3 2026-05-25 – 2026-05-31
S INDIGO PAC $2,995 4 2026-03-19 – 2026-03-24
S BLUE DEMOCRACY NETWORK $1,100 2 2026-03-03 – 2026-04-20
S GIVEGREEN UNITED ACTION $521 7 2026-03-04 – 2026-05-15

S Supporting O Opposing

Schedule E is corroboration, not the trigger — a filed expenditure is late evidence, and our detection timestamp reflects when we crawled, which can lag the actual posting. Supporting IE dated on or after our detection day: $0. Dates are FEC expenditure dates.