Published July 13, 2026 · Updated with each build
Red Box Watch

A public ledger of red‑boxing — campaign‑site signals to super PACs

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Finding Senate · Kentucky Democrat

McGrath, Amy FINDING

Seat
S-KY-00
Party
DEM
Universe reason
contested_primary
FEC receipts
$2,154,477 FEC
Campaign site
https://amymcgrath.com (unverified)
Pages scanned
145 · last 2026-07-09

Posted public messaging guidance consistent with red-boxing

Detected on https://amymcgrath.com  · classifier confidence 0.85 · model fireworks/deepseek-v4-flash

The page includes a section that explicitly targets a specific voter demographic ('Older Kentuckians that have recent primary vote history') with directive language about what they 'need to read more than once,' followed by two prescribed message points. This is a strong red-boxing signal, as it functions as guidance for an outside group to run ads targeting that segment. The rest of the page is standard campaign content, but this directive section elevates the classification to red_box_guidance.

Quoted evidence — verbatim spans from the page

  • Older Kentuckians that have recent primary vote history need to read more than once that:
    Segmented audience (older Kentuckians with recent primary vote history) paired with a directive about what they 'need to read' — a classic red-boxing signal.
  • 1. Families across Kentucky are paying more, and the system is rigged against them. Amy McGrath will take on the powerful interests driving up costs and put working people first. And: 2: While others talk, Amy McGrath steps up and fights back.
    Prescribed message themes written as instructions for what the segmented audience should see, not as direct voter persuasion.
Archived screenshot of https://amymcgrath.com
Archived at detectionFull-page screenshot of https://amymcgrath.com · Raw HTML preserved

Independent-expenditure corroboration

FEC Schedule E · 4 filings

Sequence. Messaging guidance was present on the candidate's site when detected (by us) on 2026-07-09; $154,395 in supporting independent expenditures is on file for this candidate.

Committee AmountFilingsDate range
S COMMONWEALTH COURAGE PAC $149,395 3 2026-05-05 – 2026-05-11
S SD 2026 $5,000 1 2026-05-16 – 2026-05-16

S Supporting O Opposing

Schedule E is corroboration, not the trigger — a filed expenditure is late evidence, and our detection timestamp reflects when we crawled, which can lag the actual posting. Supporting IE dated on or after our detection day: $0. Dates are FEC expenditure dates.