Published July 13, 2026 · Updated with each build
Red Box Watch

A public ledger of red‑boxing — campaign‑site signals to super PACs

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Finding House · Texas Democrat

Haynes, Frederick III FINDING

Seat
H-TX-30
Party
DEM
Universe reason
contested_primary
FEC receipts
$347,441 FEC
Campaign site
https://www.haynesforcongress.com/ (unverified)
Pages scanned
39 · last 2026-07-09

Posted public messaging guidance consistent with red-boxing

Detected on https://www.haynesforcongress.com/media  · classifier confidence 0.95 · model claude-sonnet-4-6 (escalated)

This page functions as media-buy guidance directed at outside spenders, not as voter-facing content. It segments audiences by age and race, prescribes distinct message themes for each segment, specifies channels and timing ('weeks 3-1,' 'on the go,' 'on their screens and on social media'), and provides photo assets — all classic red-box signals. The directive framing ('need to see') and dated update cadence further confirm this is instruction to an independent expenditure group rather than direct voter persuasion.

Quoted evidence — verbatim spans from the page

  • Likely democratic primary voters need to see on the go a simple message: Pastor Frederick Haynes III will be our progressive voice in Congress, and he is endorsed by Congresswoman Jasmine Crockett.
    Directive language telling an outside audience what voters 'need to see on the go' — classic media-buy instruction framing for a specific audience segment and channel (mobile/on-the-go).
  • In weeks 3-1, likely primary voters listed in the key target section need to see on-the-go content, particularly on their screens and on social media.
    Timing cue ('weeks 3-1'), channel specification ('on their screens and on social media'), and audience segment directive — all hallmarks of media-buy instructions.
  • For voters under 45: Pastor Haynes is endorsed by Jasmine Crockett, refuses corporate PAC money, and will stand up to corporate and special interests like AIPAC
    Prescribed message theme segmented by age demographic, written as an instruction about what message to deliver to a specific voter segment rather than direct voter persuasion.
  • For voters over 45: Pastor Haynes is running to continue his 40 years of service in the community. He is endorsed by Jasmine Crockett and will be the fighter we need to stand up to Donald Trump.
    Separate prescribed message theme for a different age demographic, structured as ad-copy guidance for an outside spender.
  • Key Targets: Voters under 45, White voters over 45, Black voters, all ages
    Explicit audience segmentation by age and race, consistent with targeting instructions for paid media buys.
  • Date updated: Monday, February 2
    Dated update cadence implying ongoing instruction to outside groups, consistent with red-box guidance update patterns.
Archived screenshot of https://www.haynesforcongress.com/media
Archived at detectionFull-page screenshot of https://www.haynesforcongress.com/media · Raw HTML preserved

Independent-expenditure corroboration

FEC Schedule E · 10 filings

Sequence. Messaging guidance was present on the candidate's site when detected (by us) on 2026-07-09; $400,000 in supporting independent expenditures is on file for this candidate.

Committee AmountFilingsDate range
S JUSTICE DEMOCRATS PAC $200,000 4 2026-02-12 – 2026-02-17
S AMERICAN PRIORITIES (AP) $200,000 6 2026-02-11 – 2026-02-19

S Supporting O Opposing

Schedule E is corroboration, not the trigger — a filed expenditure is late evidence, and our detection timestamp reflects when we crawled, which can lag the actual posting. Supporting IE dated on or after our detection day: $0. Dates are FEC expenditure dates.