Published July 13, 2026 · Updated with each build
Red Box Watch

A public ledger of red‑boxing — campaign‑site signals to super PACs

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Finding House · New York Democrat

Conley, Cait FINDING

Seat
H-NY-17
Party
DEM
Universe reason
contested_primary
FEC receipts
$3,258,198 FEC
Campaign site
https://caitconley.com/ (unverified)
Pages scanned
122 · last 2026-06-02

Posted public messaging guidance consistent with red-boxing

Detected on https://caitconley.com/media  · classifier confidence 0.92 · model claude-haiku-4-5

This page functions as media-buy guidance to outside groups. It segments Democratic Primary voters by age, county, and voting history, assigns specific message themes to each segment, and pairs those themes with explicit channel directives (cable, digital, streaming, addressable cable, mail). The repeated structure 'voters [in X segment] across [Y channels] need to know [Z message]' is characteristic of red-box guidance instructing a super PAC or independent spender on audience targeting, channel selection, and messaging. The page is not written as direct voter persuasion but as instructions to media buyers.

Quoted evidence — verbatim spans from the page

  • Starting immediately through Election Day, all Democratic Primary voters in NY-17 across cable television, digital, streaming, addressable cable platforms, and mail need to know:
    Explicit channel and geography directives paired with segmented audience and prescribed message themes — classic media-buy instruction format.
  • a subset of Democratic Primary voters on digital, streaming, and addressable cable platforms, specifically voters age 55+ in Dutchess, Putnam, and Rockland Counties, need to know that Cait is a patriot
    Demographic and geographic segmentation paired with specific message assignment across named media channels — directive to outside spenders on where and to whom to run ads.
  • For mail, priorities are: Registered Democrats who in at least 1 of 2022 Aug Primary, 2022 June Primary, 2020 Primary, 2018 Sept Primary
    Voter-file targeting criteria explicitly tied to a media channel (mail), indicating media-buy instruction rather than voter persuasion.
  • That Cait knows firsthand what working families in the district are going through and will fight to solve their problems
    Prescribed message theme framed as what voters 'need to know' across specified channels, not direct voter persuasion copy.
Archived screenshot of https://caitconley.com/media
Archived at detectionFull-page screenshot of https://caitconley.com/media · Wayback snapshot · Raw HTML preserved

Independent-expenditure corroboration

FEC Schedule E · 4 filings

Sequence. Messaging guidance was present on the candidate's site when detected (by us) on 2026-06-02; $358,978 in supporting independent expenditures is on file for this candidate.

Committee AmountFilingsDate range
S VOTEVETS $358,596 3 2026-05-26 – 2026-05-29
S DMFI PAC $382 1 2026-02-25 – 2026-02-25

S Supporting O Opposing

Schedule E is corroboration, not the trigger — a filed expenditure is late evidence, and our detection timestamp reflects when we crawled, which can lag the actual posting. Supporting IE dated on or after our detection day: $0. Dates are FEC expenditure dates.