Finding House · Nebraska Democrat
Cavanaugh, John FINDING
Posted public messaging guidance consistent with red-boxing
Detected on https://www.johncavanaugh.org/media · classifier confidence 0.95 · model fireworks/deepseek-v4-flash
The page contains explicit directives for paid media and mail targeting specific voter segments (25+, all registered Democrats, seniors 60+) with prescribed messages and timing instructions. This is not a standard press kit or voter-facing persuasion page; it is guidance intended for an outside group to execute independent expenditures, meeting the definition of red-boxing.
Quoted evidence — verbatim spans from the page
Voters 25+ need to see on TV and steaming that Denise Powell is a millionaire political operative they call “Dark Money Denise”.
Directive specifying audience, channel (TV/streaming), and message for paid media.Mail message for all registered Democrats:
Prescribed mail messaging for a segmented audience, indicating guidance for outside mailers.The timing of mail MUST take that into consideration for those who typically vote early or have requested a ballot.
Instruction on timing of mailers, a media-buy cue for outside groups.Once the above signal is covered, or for those who prefer to communicate via mail:
Sequencing of media channels (TV/streaming then mail) typical of red-box guidance.
Independent-expenditure corroboration
FEC Schedule E · 62 filings
Sequence. Messaging guidance was present on the candidate's site when detected (by us) on 2026-07-09; $601,240 in supporting independent expenditures is on file for this candidate, and $4,366,062 opposing.
| Committee | Amount | Filings | Date range | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| O | NEW DEMOCRAT MAJORITY | $1,470,424 | 6 | 2026-04-24 – 2026-04-28 |
| O | FIGHT FOR NEBRASKA PAC | $1,194,085 | 30 | 2026-03-24 – 2026-05-12 |
| O | LEAD LEFT PAC | $870,450 | 4 | 2026-05-05 – 2026-05-05 |
| S | CONGRESSIONAL PROGRESSIVE CAUCUS PAC | $586,500 | 6 | 2026-04-20 – 2026-05-05 |
| O | EDW ACTION FUND | $397,943 | 4 | 2026-04-17 – 2026-04-29 |
| O | PRO-CHOICE MAJORITY 2026 | $242,057 | 2 | 2026-05-01 – 2026-05-01 |
| O | WOMEN VOTE | $187,363 | 4 | 2026-04-17 – 2026-04-23 |
| S | PROGRESSIVE PROMISE | $14,730 | 1 | 2026-05-08 – 2026-05-08 |
| O | DMFI PAC | $3,740 | 4 | 2026-04-24 – 2026-04-27 |
| S | SIERRA CLUB INDEPENDENT ACTION | $10 | 1 | 2026-03-19 – 2026-03-19 |
S Supporting O Opposing
Schedule E is corroboration, not the trigger — a filed expenditure is late evidence, and our detection timestamp reflects when we crawled, which can lag the actual posting. Supporting IE dated on or after our detection day: $0. Dates are FEC expenditure dates.