Published July 13, 2026 · Updated with each build
Red Box Watch

A public ledger of red‑boxing — campaign‑site signals to super PACs

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Finding House · Nebraska Democrat

Powell, Denise FINDING

Seat
H-NE-02
Party
DEM
Universe reason
contested_primary
FEC receipts
$1,617,997 FEC
Campaign site
https://deniseforcongress.org/ (unverified)
Pages scanned
55 · last 2026-07-09

Posted public messaging guidance consistent with red-boxing

Detected on https://deniseforcongress.org/media-kit  · classifier confidence 0.95 · model fireworks/deepseek-v4-flash

The page contains detailed, directive language specifying media channels (TV, digital, mail, Black radio), audience segments, GRP targets, and message themes. This is not a press kit or voter persuasion page; it is clearly intended as guidance for an outside group (e.g., super PAC) to execute paid advertising. The presence of 'voters should see/hear' and explicit targeting criteria confirms red-boxing.

Quoted evidence — verbatim spans from the page

  • voters should see/hear on digital, TV and Black radio that Democrats across Nebraska endorse Denise Powell
    Directive specifying channels and message for voters, typical of media-buy guidance.
  • voters should see on TV (at least 500 GRPS a week of broadcast) that: John Cavanaugh is jeopardizing the Blue Dot
    Specifies TV with GRP target and contrast message, a clear media-buy instruction.
  • For mail, the priorities are: Registered Democrats who voted in 1 of the last 3 primaries ...
    Segmented audience targeting for mail, indicating paid media guidance.
  • For digital, the priorities are: YouTube targeting ages 35+ district-wide ...
    Channel-specific targeting instructions for digital ads.
  • In mail and on digital platforms, voters should immediately begin learning about Denise Powell’s proven record
    Directive on timing and channel for message delivery.
Archived screenshot of https://deniseforcongress.org/media-kit
Archived at detectionFull-page screenshot of https://deniseforcongress.org/media-kit · Raw HTML preserved

Independent-expenditure corroboration

FEC Schedule E · 109 filings

Sequence. Messaging guidance was present on the candidate's site when detected (by us) on 2026-07-09; $5,361,179 in supporting independent expenditures is on file for this candidate, and $100,001 opposing.

Committee AmountFilingsDate range
S FIGHT FOR NEBRASKA PAC $1,982,657 54 2026-03-13 – 2026-05-13
S CHC BOLD PAC $1,109,277 9 2026-04-02 – 2026-04-17
S BOLD AMERICA $837,632 4 2026-04-28 – 2026-04-28
S ELECT DEMOCRATIC WOMEN $513,768 4 2026-04-16 – 2026-04-23
S EDW ACTION FUND $397,943 4 2026-04-17 – 2026-04-29
S PRO-CHOICE MAJORITY 2026 $242,057 2 2026-05-01 – 2026-05-01
S WOMEN VOTE $187,363 4 2026-04-17 – 2026-04-23
O PROGRESSIVE PROMISE $100,001 2 2026-05-05 – 2026-05-05
S LATINO VICTORY FUND $50,000 3 2026-05-11 – 2026-05-11
S BLUE BATTLEGROUND PROJECT $18,233 2 2026-01-06 – 2026-02-24
S BLUE MAJORITY PROJECT $8,997 4 2025-10-29 – 2026-02-09
S DEMOCRATIC FUTURE PAC $5,450 6 2026-01-30 – 2026-04-20
S BLUE SHIFT PAC $3,125 3 2026-03-19 – 2026-04-20
S BLUE DEMOCRACY NETWORK $2,400 4 2026-02-03 – 2026-04-20
S MAJORITY BLUE PAC $1,075 1 2026-04-27 – 2026-04-27
S FIELD TEAM 6, INC. $868 1 2026-06-24 – 2026-06-24
S ACTIVATE AMERICA $333 2 2026-05-22 – 2026-05-31

S Supporting O Opposing

Schedule E is corroboration, not the trigger — a filed expenditure is late evidence, and our detection timestamp reflects when we crawled, which can lag the actual posting. Supporting IE dated on or after our detection day: $0. Dates are FEC expenditure dates.