Published July 13, 2026 · Updated with each build
Red Box Watch

A public ledger of red‑boxing — campaign‑site signals to super PACs

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Finding House · Maine Democrat

Baldacci, Joseph FINDING

Seat
H-ME-02
Party
DEM
Universe reason
contested_primary
FEC receipts
$530,500 FEC
Campaign site
https://baldacciforcongress.com/ (unverified)
Pages scanned
14 · last 2026-07-09

Posted public messaging guidance consistent with red-boxing

Detected on https://baldacciforcongress.com/resources  · classifier confidence 0.92 · model fireworks/deepseek-v4-flash

The page combines directive language ('need to see') with a specific media market ('Portland media market') and downloadable b-roll, all of which are standard red-boxing signals intended to guide an outside group's independent expenditures. The audience is not voters or press but an entity that can act on the media-buy and asset instructions.

Quoted evidence — verbatim spans from the page

  • Democratic primary voters, especially but not exclusively in the Portland media market, need to see that Jordan Wood is a multimillionaire DC political operative
    Directive language specifying a geographic media market and audience segment, instructing an outside spender on what voters should see.
  • Click below to download approved high-resolution images and b-roll for Joe Baldacci’s campaign for Congress.
    Provisioning of ad-ready assets (b-roll) for use in paid media, a classic red-boxing signal.
Archived screenshot of https://baldacciforcongress.com/resources
Archived at detectionFull-page screenshot of https://baldacciforcongress.com/resources · Raw HTML preserved

Independent-expenditure corroboration

FEC Schedule E · 23 filings

Sequence. Messaging guidance was present on the candidate's site when detected (by us) on 2026-07-09; $1,933,723 in supporting independent expenditures is on file for this candidate, and $994,295 opposing.

Committee AmountFilingsDate range
S PROJECT 218 $1,933,723 14 2026-05-19 – 2026-06-05
O REAL CHANGE PAC $994,295 9 2026-05-22 – 2026-06-24

S Supporting O Opposing

Schedule E is corroboration, not the trigger — a filed expenditure is late evidence, and our detection timestamp reflects when we crawled, which can lag the actual posting. Supporting IE dated on or after our detection day: $0. Dates are FEC expenditure dates.