Published July 13, 2026 · Updated with each build
Red Box Watch

A public ledger of red‑boxing — campaign‑site signals to super PACs

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Finding House · California Democrat

Von Wilpert, Marni FINDING

Seat
H-CA-48
Party
DEM
Universe reason
contested_primary
FEC receipts
$1,259,899 FEC
Campaign site
https://www.marnivonwilpert.com/ (unverified)
Pages scanned
22 · last 2026-07-09

Posted public messaging guidance consistent with red-boxing

Detected on https://www.marnivonwilpert.com/new-page  · classifier confidence 0.95 · model fireworks/deepseek-v4-flash

The page contains detailed media-buy instructions specifying which voter segments in which media markets should see ads on which channels (online, streaming, direct mail, broadcast, cable), along with prescribed positive and negative messaging themes and b-roll assets. This is classic red-box guidance intended for an outside group (super PAC) to execute independent expenditures, not for direct voter persuasion or press use.

Quoted evidence — verbatim spans from the page

  • Voters in the Los Angeles and San Diego media markets in CA48 need to see 1) positive ads first and foremost online, 2) then on streaming devices, and 3) then in direct mail.
    Segmented audience with explicit channel and geography instructions for ad placement.
  • Voters district wide, need to see ads on broadcast, cable, streaming and digital as well as read mail about:
    Directive for media-buy across multiple channels, addressed to an outside spender.
  • Photos and B-Roll can be found here.
    Provision of ad assets (b-roll) for use in paid communications.
Archived screenshot of https://www.marnivonwilpert.com/new-page
Archived at detectionFull-page screenshot of https://www.marnivonwilpert.com/new-page · Raw HTML preserved

Independent-expenditure corroboration

FEC Schedule E · 85 filings

Sequence. Messaging guidance was present on the candidate's site when detected (by us) on 2026-07-09; $3,704,247 in supporting independent expenditures is on file for this candidate, and $1,117,227 opposing.

Committee AmountFilingsDate range
S PROJECT 218 $1,800,000 6 2026-05-26 – 2026-05-27
O SERVING CA $1,064,773 39 2026-04-17 – 2026-05-21
S ELECT DEMOCRATIC WOMEN $780,000 4 2026-04-13 – 2026-05-21
S EQUALITY PAC $436,360 8 2026-04-02 – 2026-05-22
S WOMEN VOTE $278,000 4 2026-05-21 – 2026-05-28
S HEALTH CARE SAVES LIVES $195,222 16 2026-04-01 – 2026-05-13
S COMMITTEE FOR WORKING FAMILIES, SPONSORED BY LABOR ORGANIZATIONS $165,499 4 2026-04-15 – 2026-05-05
O VETERANS FOR TRUTH PAC $52,455 1 2026-05-30 – 2026-05-30
S SEIU COPE (SERVICE EMPLOYEES INTERNATIONAL UNION COMMITTEE ON POLITICAL EDUCATION) $48,833 1 2026-05-26 – 2026-05-26
S DMFI PAC $333 2 2026-03-19 – 2026-03-23

S Supporting O Opposing

Schedule E is corroboration, not the trigger — a filed expenditure is late evidence, and our detection timestamp reflects when we crawled, which can lag the actual posting. Supporting IE dated on or after our detection day: $0. Dates are FEC expenditure dates.