Published July 13, 2026 · Updated with each build
Red Box Watch

A public ledger of red‑boxing — campaign‑site signals to super PACs

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Finding House · California Democrat

Sherman, Brad FINDING

Seat
H-CA-32
Party
DEM
Universe reason
contested_primary
FEC receipts
$2,116,724 FEC
Campaign site
https://bradsherman.com (unverified)
Pages scanned
69 · last 2026-07-09

Posted public messaging guidance consistent with red-boxing

Detected on https://www.bradsherman.com/blank  · classifier confidence 0.95 · model fireworks/deepseek-v4-flash

The page contains directive language that tells an outside group which voter segments to target, which channels to use (CTV, YouTube, cable including Dodgers games), and what message to convey. This is not a press release or direct voter persuasion; it is guidance for independent expenditure advertising. The presence of 'HI RES PHOTOS' and 'HI RES VIDEO' links further supports that the page is provisioning assets for ad production.

Quoted evidence — verbatim spans from the page

  • Likely Democratic and independent primary voters, especially those under 50, do need to learn via CTV and YouTube, in addition to cable (including Dodgers games)
    Specifies audience segments and media channels for paid advertising, a classic red-boxing signal.
  • that Brad Sherman is exactly who we need representing us in Congress at this moment — because he is not afraid of Donald Trump and won’t back down from his Administration’s attacks
    Prescribes the exact message theme to be used in ads, directed at an outside spender.
Archived screenshot of https://www.bradsherman.com/blank
Archived at detectionFull-page screenshot of https://www.bradsherman.com/blank · Raw HTML preserved

Independent-expenditure corroboration

FEC Schedule E · 34 filings

Sequence. Messaging guidance was present on the candidate's site when detected (by us) on 2026-07-09; $1,848,216 in supporting independent expenditures is on file for this candidate, and $388,332 opposing.

Committee AmountFilingsDate range
S VALLEY-WESTSIDE UNITED PAC $1,780,000 5 2026-04-27 – 2026-05-29
O NEW ERA LEADERSHIP $388,332 17 2026-05-14 – 2026-05-29
S NATIONAL ASSOCIATION OF REALTORS POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE $68,156 8 2026-05-13 – 2026-05-13
S PLANNED PARENTHOOD ADVOCACY PROJECT LOS ANGELES COUNTY ACTION FUND $50 3 2025-02-14 – 2026-05-04
S SIERRA CLUB INDEPENDENT ACTION $10 1 2026-04-07 – 2026-04-07

S Supporting O Opposing

Schedule E is corroboration, not the trigger — a filed expenditure is late evidence, and our detection timestamp reflects when we crawled, which can lag the actual posting. Supporting IE dated on or after our detection day: $0. Dates are FEC expenditure dates.