Published September 7, 2026 · Updated with each build
RedBoxWatch

A public ledger of red‑boxing — campaign‑site signals to super PACs

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Finding House · Arizona Democrat

Jonathan Treble FINDING

This candidate was defeated in the primary, so the candidacy has ended. The finding below was detected and archived while the campaign was live and remains on the ledger as a historical record.
Seat
H-AZ-01
Party
DEM
Universe reason
contested_primary+contested_general
FEC receipts
$3,979,424 FEC
Campaign site
https://trebleforaz.com/ (unverified)
Pages scanned
30 · last 2026-07-28

Posted public messaging guidance consistent with red-boxing

Detected on https://trebleforaz.com/media  · classifier confidence 0.95

  1. First detectedJuly 9, 2026

The page provides explicit media-buy guidance: it specifies voter segments (registered Democrats, unaffiliated, under-40s), channels (mailboxes, on the go, text), timing (weeks 3 and 2), and a prescribed message attacking opponents. This is directed at outside groups who would run paid advertising, not at voters or press. The presence of standard press kit elements (images, video) does not negate the clear red-boxing function.

Quoted evidence — verbatim spans from the page

  • Immediately, Across Arizona’s 1st Congressional District
    Geographic targeting directive for media buy
  • Registered Democrats and unaffiliated voters who voted in at least one of the last three Democratic Congressional primaries (2020, 2022, or 2024)
    Segmented voter audience for paid communication
  • All need to read in their mailboxes and see on the go that:
    Channel-specific media-buy instruction (mail, mobile/outdoor)
  • Additionally, Under 40s in those groups need to read via text in weeks 3 and 2.
    Timing and channel instruction for a specific demographic segment
  • Jonathan Treble is the only progressive candidate. He can be counted on to deliver on Medicare for All and hold the line with Democrats against Donald Trump. Marlene Galan-Woods and Amish Shah can not be trusted...
    Prescribed message theme and contrast framing for ads
Archived screenshot of https://trebleforaz.com/media
Archived at detectionFull-page screenshot of https://trebleforaz.com/media · Raw HTML preserved
Plain text of the archived page
MEET JONATHAN
WHY I’M RUNNING
ISSUES
ENDORSEMENTS
MEDIA
VOLUNTEER
DONATE
Media

Updated 6/27/26

Key Info:

Early voting begins June 24

Election day is July 21

It is expected that 70% of the Primary electorate will vote prior to Election Day with a significant portion within Week 1. 

Immediately, Across Arizona’s 1st Congressional District

Registered Democrats and unaffiliated voters who voted in at least one of the last three Democratic Congressional primaries (2020, 2022, or 2024)
Voters who have presidential primary vote history (2020 or 2024) and voted in two of the three last general elections 
Democratic Party Registrants since November 2024
All need to read in their mailboxes and see on the go that:

Additionally, Under 40s in those groups need to read via text in weeks 3 and 2. 

Jonathan Treble is the only progressive candidate. He can be counted on to deliver on Medicare for All and hold the line with Democrats against Donald Trump. Marlene Galan-Woods and Amish Shah can not be trusted to stand up for the principles of the Democratic Party. We do not need another Kyrsten Sinema in Congress. 

Meanwhile Marlene Galan-Woods 

Is a self-described “lifelong Republican” who spent decades voting for and donating to Republicans who advanced anti-immigrant, anti-abortion, and anti-union legislation.
Supported Former Arizona Governor Jan Brewer after she signed SB 1070 into law. Donating the maximum amount and proudly standing on stage in support at the Brewer victory party in 2010. 

And Amish Shah 

Regularly worked with MAGA Republicans in the State House.
Shah championed a proposal to limit access to hormonal contraception. When it failed, he walked away from the final bill. 
Co-sponsored Republican legislation that would have made it easier to subject young LGBTQ Arizonans to conversion therapy. 
Democratic lawmakers who served with Shah said they could not trust him. 

The Jonathan Treble Story

Jonathan Treble was the first in his family to go to college and started a successful small business where he gives every employee a stake in his company. After a life-threatening illness, he had to fight with insurance companies to get the treatment he needed. That is why he will take on Trump to restore his cruel cuts to health care, fight big insurance and provide access to health care to all Americans through Medicare, stop ICE’s reign of terror and lower costs by ending Trump’s tariffs and the war in Iran.

                                                                                             Images
                                                                                              Video

MEET JONATHAN
WHY I’M RUNNING
ISSUES
ENDORSEMENTS
MEDIA
VOLUNTEER
DONATE
Treble for Arizona
PO Box 391
Scottsdale, AZ 85252
Get in touch with our team – info@trebleforaz.com

PAID FOR BY TREBLE FOR ARIZONA

Privacy Policy © 2026

 EN

[hidden/DOM-only content]
Meet Jonathan
Why I’m Running
Issues
Endorsements
Volunteer
Donate
Meet Jonathan
Why I’m Running
Issues
Endorsements
Volunteer
Donate
Immediately,
Across Arizona’s 1st Congressional District
Is a self-described
“lifelong Republican”
who spent decades voting for and donating to Republicans who advanced anti-immigrant, anti-abortion, and anti-union legislation.
Supported Former Arizona Governor Jan Brewer after she signed SB 1070 into law.
Donating
the maximum amount and proudly
standing
on stage in
support
at the Brewer victory party in 2010.
Shah
championed
a proposal to limit access to hormonal contraception. When it failed, he walked away from the final bill.
Co-sponsored
Republican legislation that would have made it easier to subject young LGBTQ Arizonans to
conversion therapy
.
Democratic lawmakers who served with Shah said they could
not trust him
.
Meet Jonathan
Why I’m Running
Issues
Endorsements
Volunteer
Donate
Get in touch with our team –
info@trebleforaz.com
Paid for by Treble for Arizona
Privacy Policy
© 2026
English
Spanish
en

Independent-expenditure corroboration

FEC Schedule E · 5 filings

Sequence. Messaging guidance was present on the candidate's site when detected on 2026-07-09; $247,117 in supporting independent expenditures is on file for this candidate.

Committee AmountFilingsDate range
S CRUSH MAGA PAC $247,117 5 2026-06-05 – 2026-07-06

S Supporting O Opposing

FEC filings can be trailing evidence — smaller expenditures may surface only in periodic reports. Supporting IE dated on or after our detection day: $0. Dates are FEC expenditure dates.

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