Published July 13, 2026 · Updated with each build
Red Box Watch

A public ledger of red‑boxing — campaign‑site signals to super PACs

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Finding House · Arizona Democrat

Galan-Woods, Marlene FINDING

Seat
H-AZ-01
Party
DEM
Universe reason
contested_primary
FEC receipts
$1,566,625 FEC
Campaign site
https://www.marleneforcongress.com/ (unverified)
Pages scanned
97 · last 2026-07-09

Posted public messaging guidance consistent with red-boxing

Detected on https://www.marleneforcongress.com/media  · classifier confidence 0.93 · model claude-sonnet-4-6 (escalated)

This page functions as red-box guidance: it combines a named media market (Phoenix), specific channel directives (broadcast, YouTube, streaming, mail), electorate turnout data, a dated update cadence, and prescribed attack message themes — all framed as directives about what voters 'need to see.' The intended reader is plainly an outside spender running paid advertising, not a voter or journalist. The combination of geography, channel, timing, and message prescription is the hallmark of coordinated media-buy guidance posted publicly.

Quoted evidence — verbatim spans from the page

  • voters in the Phoenix media market need to see especially on broadcast but also YouTube and streaming that:
    Named media market (Phoenix) paired with specific channel directives (broadcast, YouTube, streaming) — classic media-buy instructions targeting an outside spender.
  • All mail currently in progress should continue.
    Directive instruction about ongoing mail program, framed as guidance to whoever is running paid communications.
  • A large portion of this electorate is going to return their ballots before Week 1. Overall, 70% of the Primary electorate will vote before election day.
    Turnout/timing intelligence paired with channel and message directives — functions as strategic context for an outside group's media buy.
  • Updated 7/1/2026
    Dated update cadence on a 'Media' page implies ongoing instruction to outside spenders, not a standard press release.
  • Democrats cannot trust Amish Shah. His own Democratic colleagues in the legislature said he could not be trusted. On over 15 occasions, Shah was the only Democrat to vote with Republicans.
    Prescribed contrast message themes written as instructions (what voters 'need to see') rather than direct voter persuasion copy.
Archived screenshot of https://www.marleneforcongress.com/media
Archived at detectionFull-page screenshot of https://www.marleneforcongress.com/media · Raw HTML preserved

Independent-expenditure corroboration

FEC Schedule E · 4 filings

Sequence. Messaging guidance was present on the candidate's site when detected (by us) on 2026-07-09; $901,693 in supporting independent expenditures is on file for this candidate, and $96,459 opposing.

Committee AmountFilingsDate range
S PRO-CHOICE MAJORITY ACTION $600,000 2 2026-06-06 – 2026-06-06
S CHC BOLD PAC $301,693 1 2026-06-12 – 2026-06-12
O THE IMPACT FUND $96,459 1 2026-06-17 – 2026-06-17

S Supporting O Opposing

Schedule E is corroboration, not the trigger — a filed expenditure is late evidence, and our detection timestamp reflects when we crawled, which can lag the actual posting. Supporting IE dated on or after our detection day: $0. Dates are FEC expenditure dates.