Published July 13, 2026 · Updated with each build
Red Box Watch

A public ledger of red‑boxing — campaign‑site signals to super PACs

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Finding House · Arizona Democrat

Shah, Amish Dr. FINDING

Seat
H-AZ-01
Party
DEM
Universe reason
contested_primary
FEC receipts
$1,290,456 FEC
Campaign site
https://amishforarizona.com (unverified)
Pages scanned
19 · last 2026-07-09

Posted public messaging guidance consistent with red-boxing

Detected on https://amishforarizona.com/resources  · classifier confidence 0.95 · model fireworks/deepseek-v4-flash

The page functions as a detailed media-buy instruction sheet for an outside group, specifying target audiences (by turnout history, party registration, gender), channels (mail, text, on-the-go), timing (before early voting), and exact message themes (positive for Shah, negative for Galán-Woods). It also provides ad-ready assets. This is not a press release or voter-facing page; it is red-box guidance.

Quoted evidence — verbatim spans from the page

  • likely Democratic primary voters in AZ CD 1 IMMEDIATELY need to know
    Directive language prescribing what voters should be told, addressed to an outside spender.
  • Voters in Arizona need to receive positive messages about Amish that include the following supporting facts
    Prescribed message themes for paid communications.
  • Effective messages should focus on mail and text to registered Democrats and unaffiliated voters who turned out in at least one of the last three Democratic primaries (8/2020, 8/2022, or 7/2024), along with recent Democratic registrants.
    Explicit channel (mail and text) and audience targeting instructions for media buy.
  • If resources are limited, the most important voters to receive these messages are those who voted in either the 8/2022 or 7/2024 Democratic primary, plus new Democratic registrants. Of these, female voters are the highest priority.
    Further audience segmentation and priority ranking for paid outreach.
  • This communication should start as soon as possible, as early voting begins on June 24 and the large majority of primary voters (likely about 70%) will vote early.
    Timing guidance for when to run the ads.
  • Arizona voters need to see on-the-go secondary messages that contain positive messages about Amish and, separately, negative messages about Marlene Galán-Woods.
    Channel cue ('on-the-go' implies mobile/streaming ads) and message separation instruction.
  • Photo and video of Marlene Galán-Woods clapping behind Jan Brewer at her victory party while she advocates for 'firing' President Obama and Speaker Pelosi.
    Ad asset provisioning (b-roll/photo) for use in paid communications.
Archived screenshot of https://amishforarizona.com/resources
Archived at detectionFull-page screenshot of https://amishforarizona.com/resources · Raw HTML preserved

Independent-expenditure corroboration

FEC Schedule E · 19 filings

Sequence. Messaging guidance was present on the candidate's site when detected (by us) on 2026-07-09; $130,815 in supporting independent expenditures is on file for this candidate, and $1,556,655 opposing.

Committee AmountFilingsDate range
O BOLD AMERICA $995,053 5 2026-07-07 – 2026-07-07
O CRUSH MAGA PAC $365,507 6 2026-05-26 – 2026-07-06
O PRO-CHOICE MAJORITY ACTION $196,095 1 2026-06-23 – 2026-06-23
S PHYSICIAN VOICES UNITED $102,436 3 2026-06-16 – 2026-07-02
S HEALTHCARE FOR ACTION PAC $17,523 2 2026-07-07 – 2026-07-07
S SEIU COPE (SERVICE EMPLOYEES INTERNATIONAL UNION COMMITTEE ON POLITICAL EDUCATION) $7,023 1 2025-04-15 – 2025-04-15
S WESTERN STATES REGIONAL COUNCIL OF CARPENTERS LEGISLATIVE IMPROVEMENT CMTE UNITED BROTHERHOOD OF CARPENTERS & JOINERS OF AMERICA $3,833 1 2025-03-05 – 2025-03-05

S Supporting O Opposing

Schedule E is corroboration, not the trigger — a filed expenditure is late evidence, and our detection timestamp reflects when we crawled, which can lag the actual posting. Supporting IE dated on or after our detection day: $0. Dates are FEC expenditure dates.